#Summer Offensive# #Southumi# #Russia and Ukraine#
The Russian army's summer offensive has begun! Recently, when Trump met Mertz, he said: Let Russia and Ukraine fight for a while! When Trump said this, it means he was forced to admit a reality that he did not want to admit: the time for the truce was very immature, and in order to accelerate his withdrawal from Europe and fulfill his promise to "end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict", Trump has been pushing the ceasefire in the past, but he always kicked it on the iron plate, either Zelensky was perfunctory or Putin was perfunctory.
The Russian army's summer offensive began, and the situation was fierce. When Trump's words were issued, Putin and Zeliansky relieved. In the past, the two of them often lie to deal with Trump's "arrest" demands, and even found ways to make Trump's anger burn on each other. But now they can continue to compete on the battlefield with great pleasure.
It is worth noting that while Trump was forced to admit the reality, guns rumbling on the Ukrainian battlefield, because the Russian summer offensive had begun!
On June 6, the British Daily Telegraph mentioned: On the battlefield in eastern Ukraine, summer is the best time to launch an offensive operation for both sides, especially the attacking side.
For example, in 2023, the Ukrainian army specifically chose to counterattack in the summer; last year, the Ukrainian army specifically chose to raid Kursk in the summer; also last summer, the Russian army first attacked Kharkov and then attacked the Red Army City. At first, the Russian army was very fast, and at one point it was only 10 kilometers away from the Red Army City. However, after the summer ended, the Russian army's offensive in the Red Army City slowed down and fell into a fierce battle with the Ukrainian army.
The reason why the timing of attack is chosen in summer is by no means a coincidence, but it has an inherent necessity. In autumn, the battlefield in Wudong will enter the rainy season, followed by a long winter that will arrive early. After winter, too much ice and snow accumulated melted one after another, thus entering the "slurry-turning period", and it was difficult for the armored troops to fight. Moreover, due to the threat of drones, the battlefield is very transparent, and any large-scale deployment of armor will be quickly destroyed. Therefore, both the Russian and Ukrainian army changed their tactics, and they emphasized the mobile propulsion of infantry. For example, the Russian army organized 3 to 5 people into groups and marched forward on small scale on motorcycles or scooters. But whether it is walking or riding a motorcycle, once it encounters a "slurry-turning period", it will be very difficult to move the ground.
Spring enters the "pulp-turning period", and the attack is difficult at this time
The high temperature in summer causes the ground to dry, which is very suitable for the advancement of the troops. In addition, in summer, the Wudong battlefield was densely wooded, and the leaves grew to provide better cover for the advancing troops.
The Russian army is now fighting at high intensity in Sumei, Kharkov and Donbas areas, and the offensive is very fierce. The British Daily Telegraph said: The Russian army's summer offensive has begun. Some analysts also said: In fact, since the Russian army moved to Sumei to fight, the Russian army's summer offensive has already begun!
So, how will the Russian army fight in the summer offensive? What are his strategic goals and goals? British media believe that the Ukrainian side has been constantly emphasizing that the Russian army is attacking Sumei Prefecture. According to Kiev, about 125,000 Russian troops are currently entering Sumei and Kharkov to fight, but these two areas seem unlikely to become Putin's main targets, because the Russian army deployed on these fronts not enough to launch an attack on a major city. All they can do is to seize as many villages as possible from the Ukrainian army.
Putin's goal is still Donetsk. He has a historical persistence in Donbas. He emphasized more than once that he wanted to win Donbas, which is his fixed military goal and a political goal. The military operations carried out in areas such as Samui only attracted as many Ukrainian troops to gather here, making them unable to support the direction of Donetsk. The Ukrainian army did do this. After they withdrew from Kursk, they were originally preparing to support Donetsk, but the Russian Sumei offensive failed this potential deployment. The Ukrainian army needed to keep these troops in Sumei and block the Russian offensive.
Putin's main goal is still Donbas
British media also predicted that the initial goal of the Russian army's "summer offensive" is to take down Konstantinovka and further cut off the transportation supplies in the north and south directions of the Ukrainian army. Some Ukrainian military personnel have admitted that they may lose control of the town next.
