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The ace is in hand, and the escape of manufacturing industry is a false proposition

2025-06-09 07:08:46 HKTtodayinfo

Review

The market was still good for the three days after the holiday. Small-cap stocks adjusted slightly on Friday, but not much fell. There is another good and exciting weekend. Today is worth looking forward to. Or is it the old routine of opening high and closing low?

From Friday, the white line and the yellow line are entangled, and they are a little confused.

index

monthly line, the Shanghai Composite Index bottomed out in April, rebounded in May, fell back, and there is a high probability that it will fall back in June.

From the weekly line, I rushed for 3400 in May, and I will fight for another one today?

Looking at the daily line of CSI 500, the half-year line is still above and it has not been able to break through.

CSI 1000 is relatively strong, breaking through the moving average pressure.

CSI 2000 is the strongest, and the overall trend is relatively healthy, but now it is suspected of being on the right shoulder. Even if it breaks through 2730, it is probably the end not the beginning.

sector

The strongest sector is still banks, and the target is likely to be 1410 in 2015. This is also the reason why the CSI 2000 is not optimistic about the bullish breakthrough. The bank sector is strong, and small-cap stocks are likely to not be able to do it.

The securities sector is still weak, and there is news on the weekend. Let's move to the green weekly line again?

Summary

Most of the technology sectors are still consistent with the trend of CSI 2000, and the probability of doing the right shoulder is high, so we must still be careful in the future. It will rise and fall in May, and it will probably be adjusted in June. If this rebound will rebound again, there will still be a chance to have a wave of market trends in the second half of the year.

There is a high probability that the negotiation will not be reached. The US imperialists want the manufacturing industry to return, and the one we can control is rare earths. If the rare earths are controlled well, the manufacturing industry will not be able to leave. This is our trump card.

Look at the US dollar against the RMB index, it should fall in a few more weeks, which means that the RMB is likely to start appreciation in the future, which should also be considered a forward positive.

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